Angela Fita Boluda vs Lisa PigatoContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#212WTA
1446ELO
1420Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#133WTA
1606ELO
1579Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLL
Fita Boluda A.
vs
Pigato L.

Angela Fita Boluda faces Lisa Pigato in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Lisa Pigato is the paper favourite — ranked #133, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Angela Fita Boluda arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 9 on clay to Lisa Pigato's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Fita Boluda A.16%
Pigato L.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pigato L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1420
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1606
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

39 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
50%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fita Boluda A.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Pigato L.

Pigato L.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Fita Boluda A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
68
70
Break points saved·Dominant
72
44
Break points won·Slight edge
89
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
97
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Fita Boluda A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pigato L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 34%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.