Lisa Pigato vs Aurora Zantedeschi — Contrexeville Round of 16
Pigato L.Lisa Pigato faces Aurora Zantedeschi in the Contrexeville round of 16 on clay. Lisa Pigato is the paper favourite — ranked #133, a roughly 270-point clay Elo advantage — but Aurora Zantedeschi arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on clay to Lisa Pigato's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Pigato L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Aurora Zantedeschi dropped just 3 games past Elsa Jacquemot.
- Surface form: Lisa Pigato 4 of 9, Aurora Zantedeschi 7 of 9 on clay recently — Aurora Zantedeschi the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Lisa Pigato carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadPigato L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.