Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura PigossiContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#222WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#194WTA
1478ELO
1453Clay ELO
32 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Lourdes Carle M.
6-2 6-1
Pigossi L.
Lourdes Carle M.
662
Pigossi L.
210

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Laura Pigossi 6-2, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at Contrexeville. Carle converted 88% of her break points and secured 7 service breaks, while Pigossi had 7 double faults and converted 29% of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-10-22W25 Rio do SulQFclayLaura Pigossi6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
52%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
39
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
19
Break points won·Clear edge
97
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
56
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Lourdes Carle M.31%
Pigossi L.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pigossi L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1428
Surface ELO
5.4+33 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1484
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw