Julia Grabher vs Rebeka MasarovaContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#116WTA
1613ELO
1592Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLLW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#155WTA
1789ELO
1737Clay ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL
Grabher J.
vs
Masarova R.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Grabher J.14%
Masarova R.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Masarova R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1592
Surface ELO
6.8+145 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1612
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1789
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Masarova R.

Masarova R.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
64
Break points saved·Dominant
39
91
Break points won·Clear edge
91
72
Deciding sets·Even
86
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Grabher J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Masarova R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Monnot A. v Popa M.
  2. 2Grabher J. v Masarova R.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.