Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Oksana SelekhmetevaContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#451WTA
1244ELO
1222Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#91WTA
1670ELO
1626Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLLWW
Kotliar Y.
vs
Selekhmeteva O.

Yelyzaveta Kotliar faces Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Oksana Selekhmeteva holds the paper edge — ranked #91, a roughly 400-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC
Kotliar Y.11%
Selekhmeteva O.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Selekhmeteva O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Yelyzaveta Kotliar comes in with 1 days of rest and 24 games in 14d, vs Oksana Selekhmeteva's 4 and 45.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1222
Surface ELO
10.0+404 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1244
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1670
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
6.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotliar Y.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Selekhmeteva O.

Selekhmeteva O.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Kotliar Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
83

Kotliar Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Selekhmeteva O.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
34°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 18%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.