Caroline Uebelhoer vs Dominika Salkova — Contrexeville Round of 32
Uebelhoer C.
Caroline Uebelhoer faces Dominika Salkova in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Dominika Salkova is the paper favourite — a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Caroline Uebelhoer arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay to Dominika Salkova's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Salkova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Caroline Uebelhoer comes in with 11 days of rest and 57 games in 14d, vs Dominika Salkova's 12 and 32.
- Surface form: Caroline Uebelhoer 4 of 5, Dominika Salkova 2 of 5 on clay recently — Caroline Uebelhoer the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadUebelhoer C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Salkova D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.