Alice Tubello vs Caroline Uebelhoer — Contrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
FRA
Alice Tubello
#209WTA
1487ELO
1479Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
GER
Caroline Uebelhoer
#287WTA
1432ELO
1415Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWLW
Tubello A.
6-3 6-3
Uebelhoer C.
Tubello A.
662
Uebelhoer C.
330

Alice Tubello defeated Caroline Uebelhoer 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at Contrexeville. Tubello hit 0 aces and 2 double faults, while Uebelhoer had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Tubello won 58% of her first serves and converted 38% of her break points, securing 5 service breaks to Uebelhoer's 3.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-06W15 Monastir 8R32hardAlice Tubello6-2 6-4
2020-03-12W15+H Amiens 1R16clayAlice Tubello5-7 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
Tubello A.Uebelhoer C.
1st serve in·Even
71%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tubello A.61%
Uebelhoer C.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tubello A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tubello A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Uebelhoer C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1415
5.7Overall Elo 1486
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1432
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw