Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Calvin HemeryTroyes Round of 16

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#380ATP
1282ELO
1278Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 4th on
#291ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Caniato C.
3-6 1-6
Hemery C.
Caniato C.
310
Hemery C.
662

Calvin Hemery won six games in a row to see off Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-3 6-1 in the Troyes round of 16.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 9: A 15-point game with five deuces went Calvin Hemery's way.
  • Set 2, game 2: Calvin Hemery broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Carlo Alberto Caniato converted 1 of 2 break points; Calvin Hemery converted 5 of 12 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Caniato C.
Hemery C.
Break points won
1/2
5/12
Break points saved
7/12
1/2

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Caniato C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Hemery C.

Hemery C.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Caniato C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Caniato C.33%
Hemery C.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hemery C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1277
Surface ELO
7.3+185 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1281
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1450
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
70

Caniato C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Hemery C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 39%