Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin MoellerTroyes Final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Final
#288ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
clay
#372ATP
1398ELO
1385Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWW
Feldbausch K.
vs
Moeller M.

Kilian Feldbausch faces Marvin Moeller in the Troyes final on clay. Kilian Feldbausch holds the paper edge — ranked #288, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Marvin Moeller won all two sets in tiebreaks against Calvin Hemery.
  • Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.
  • Fatigue load: Marvin Moeller carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+215 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1385
7.8Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1398
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Feldbausch K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Moeller M.

Moeller M.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Feldbausch K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
44
44
Break points saved·Clear edge
28
43
Break points won·Clear edge
64
44
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
67
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
66

Feldbausch K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 49 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.