Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesTroyes Quarter-final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 1st on
#316ATP
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Giustino L.
4-6 7-6 6-1
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Giustino L.
4762
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
6611

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the quarterfinals of the Troyes tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Giustino.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Giustino L.25%
Ribeiro Marcondes I.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ribeiro Marcondes I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1360
Surface ELO
6.8+144 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1424
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1517
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw