Marat Sharipov vs Dominic StrickerTroyes Round of 16

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#381ATP
1425ELO
1365Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
#343ATP
1533ELO
1474Clay ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLLWW
Sharipov M.
vs
Stricker D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Sharipov M.25%
Stricker D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stricker D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1365
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1425
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1533
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sharipov M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Stricker D.

Stricker D.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sharipov M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.