Marvin Moeller vs Marat Sharipov — Troyes Quarter-final
Moeller M.
Marvin Moeller faces Marat Sharipov in the Troyes quarter-final on clay. Marvin Moeller holds the paper edge — ranked #372, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Marvin Moeller dropped just 5 games past Mickael Kaouk.
- Last match: Marat Sharipov advanced when Dominic Stricker retired.
- Surface form: Marvin Moeller 3 of 4, Marat Sharipov 2 of 4 on clay recently — Marvin Moeller the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMoeller M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Sharipov M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.