Calvin Hemery vs Marvin MoellerTroyes Semi-final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#326ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 3rd on
#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Hemery C.
6-7 6-7
Moeller M.
Hemery C.
660
Moeller M.
772

Marvin Moeller defeated Calvin Hemery in the semifinals of the Troyes clay court tournament. The match was won in straight sets, 7-6, 7-6. Moeller advanced to the final with the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
35
43
Break points won·Dominant
14
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
73
Tiebreaks·Even
90
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Hemery C.57%
Moeller M.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1385
5.7Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1398
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
57

Hemery C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 15%

Draw