Kilian Feldbausch vs Inaki Montes De La TorreTroyes Quarter-final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#288ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWW
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 2nd on
#269ATP
1504ELO
1422Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWLWW
Feldbausch K.
vs
Montes De La Torre I.

Kilian Feldbausch faces Inaki Montes De La Torre in the Troyes quarter-final on clay. Inaki Montes De La Torre holds the paper edge — ranked #269. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Feldbausch K.73%
Montes De La Torre I.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Feldbausch K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+178 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1422
6.4Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1504
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.89 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Feldbausch K.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Montes De La Torre I.

Montes De La Torre I.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Feldbausch K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
44
35
Break points saved·Dominant
28
60
Break points won·Even
64
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
24
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
58

Feldbausch K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Montes De La Torre I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Giustino L. v Ribeiro Marcondes I.
  2. 2Feldbausch K. v Montes De La Torre I.This match
  3. 3Moeller M. v Sharipov M.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.