Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko TopoTroyes Round of 16

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 1st on
#338ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Giustino L.
6-1 7-6
Topo M.
Giustino L.
672
Topo M.
160

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Marko Topo in the Round of 16 at the Troyes clay court tournament. Giustino won the match in straight sets, taking the first set 6-1 and the second set 7-6.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Giustino came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-27M25 Faro 1R16hardMarko Topo6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
49%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
28
Break points saved·Dominant
32
87
Break points won·Slight edge
9
4
Deciding sets·Even
10
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Giustino L.37%
Topo M.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Topo M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1360
Surface ELO
5.5+40 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1424
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1459
3.6Trails 1–2 on clay
H2H
6.4Leads 2–1 on clay
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
98

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Topo M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw