Eliakim Coulibaly vs Calvin Hemery — Troyes Quarter-final
Eliakim Coulibaly faces Calvin Hemery in the Troyes quarter-final on clay. Calvin Hemery holds the paper edge — ranked #291, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Eliakim Coulibaly dropped just 6 games past Alexander Vasilev.
- Last match: Calvin Hemery dropped just 4 games past Carlo Alberto Caniato.
- Fatigue load: Eliakim Coulibaly carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCoulibaly E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Hemery C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · not before Not Before 5:30 PM · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Giustino L. v Ribeiro Marcondes I.
- 2Feldbausch K. v Montes De La Torre I.
- 3Moeller M. v Sharipov M.
- 4Coulibaly E. v Hemery C.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.