Maxime Chazal vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Troyes Round of 16
Chazal M.
Maxime Chazal faces Inaki Montes De La Torre in the Troyes round of 16 on clay. Inaki Montes De La Torre holds the paper edge — ranked #269, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Montes De La Torre I. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maxime Chazal 67 games in 14 days, Inaki Montes De La Torre 143.
- Under pressure: Inaki Montes De La Torre has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 35 vs Maxime Chazal's 4).
- Surface form: Maxime Chazal 2 of 5, Inaki Montes De La Torre 5 of 5 on clay recently — Inaki Montes De La Torre the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChazal M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Montes De La Torre I.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 126 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.