Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilev — Troyes Round of 16
Eliakim Coulibaly faces Alexander Vasilev in the Troyes round of 16 on clay. Eliakim Coulibaly holds the paper edge — ranked #314.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Eliakim Coulibaly 29 games in 14 days, Alexander Vasilev 59.
- Last match: Eliakim Coulibaly dropped the opening set before beating Bogdan Pavel 5–7 6–3 6–2.
- Last match: Alexander Vasilev dropped the opening set before beating Kai Wehnelt 1–6 6–1 6–1.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadCoulibaly E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Vasilev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.