Manas Dhamne vs Ioannis XilasTroyes Round of 32

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#386ATP
1436ELO
1393Clay ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
#362ATP
1337ELO
1339Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLWLLLL
Dhamne M.
vs
Xilas I.

Manas Dhamne faces Ioannis Xilas in the Troyes round of 32 on clay. Ioannis Xilas is the paper favourite — ranked #362 — but Manas Dhamne arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 8 on clay to Ioannis Xilas's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Dhamne M.72%
Xilas I.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dhamne M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1339
6.2Overall Elo 1436
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1337
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.21 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Dhamne M.Cooling
Xilas I.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
50%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
0.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dhamne M.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Xilas I.

Xilas I.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Dhamne M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Dhamne M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Xilas I.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.