Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher — Modena Round of 32

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESP
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
#153WTA
1635ELO
1622Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 3rd on
AUT
Julia Grabher
#116WTA
1614ELO
1601Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW

Julia Grabher dropped just six games in a straight-sets win over Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the Modena round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: Julia Grabher broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 3: Julia Grabher broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Andrea Lazaro Garcia converted 0 of 4 break points; Julia Grabher converted 3 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:20 UTC
Lazaro Garcia A.61%
Grabher J.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lazaro Garcia A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lazaro Garcia A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Grabher J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1601
4.5Overall Elo 1635
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1614
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Lazaro Garcia A.
420
Grabher J.
662

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Lazaro Garcia A.Grabher J.
61%1st serve in61%
64%1st serve points won+3%61%
44%2nd serve points won+2%42%
56%Service points won+2%54%
50%Return points won+7%43%
55%Break points saved+8%47%
1.1Aces / match+0.41.5
4.3Double faults / match+0.64.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw