Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

ESP

Kaitlin Quevedo

#107WTA

1713ELO

1661Clay ELO

20 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWWWW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 15:20

clay

CENTER COURT · 2nd on

ARGQ

Jazmin Ortenzi

#159WTA

1573ELO

1552Clay ELO

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLWWWLWW

Kaitlin Quevedo dropped just seven games in a straight-sets win over Jazmin Ortenzi in the Modena round of 32.

Key context

Set 2, game 1: Kaitlin Quevedo broke serve after a 17-point game with six deuces.
Set 2, game 1: A 17-point game with six deuces went Kaitlin Quevedo's way.
Set 2, game 6: Kaitlin Quevedo saved four break points to hold serve.
Pressure points: Kaitlin Quevedo converted 4 of 9 break points; Jazmin Ortenzi converted 2 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC

Quevedo K.78%

Ortenzi J.22%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Quevedo K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Quevedo K.

7.6

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Ortenzi J.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.4+109 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.6Clay Elo 1552

6.8Overall Elo 1713

ELO gap

3.2Overall Elo 1573

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

8.59 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.97 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Quevedo K.

662

Ortenzi J.

340

Conditions

Weather

30°CMainly clear

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Quevedo K.Ortenzi J.

60%1st serve in+8%68%

63%1st serve points won+6%57%

49%2nd serve points won+6%43%

57%Service points won+4%53%

46%Return points won+2%48%

51%Break points saved+2%49%

2.2Aces / match+1.11.1

2.7Double faults / match+0.93.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi — Modena Round of 32