Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello — Modena Round of 32
Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
Dominika Salkova won eight games in a row to see off Alice Tubello 6-1 3-6 6-4 in the Modena round of 32.
Key context
- Set 1, game 2: A 13-point game with four deuces went Dominika Salkova's way.
- Set 3, game 3: Dominika Salkova broke serve.
- Pressure points: Dominika Salkova converted 8 of 12 break points; Alice Tubello converted 6 of 11 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTCSalkova D.65%
Tubello A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Salkova D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1536
Surface ELO5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1617
ELO gap4.7Overall Elo 1536
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Salkova D.
6362
Tubello A.
1641
Conditions
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 38%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form70%1st serve in+6%76%
58%1st serve points won+2%60%
43%2nd serve points won+2%45%
53%Service points won+3%56%
47%Return points won+6%53%
54%Break points saved+5%49%
0.9Aces / match+0.10.8
3Double faults / match+12
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Salkova D.
Tubello A.
6-13-66-4
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