Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio — Modena Round of 32

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARGQ
Victoria Bosio
#329WTA
1305ELO
1285Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 2nd on
ITA
Nuria Brancaccio
#177WTA
1510ELO
1511Clay ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLW

Nuria Brancaccio won six games in a row to see off Victoria Bosio 6-4 7-5 in the Modena round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Nuria Brancaccio broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 10: A 13-point game with four deuces went Victoria Bosio's way.
  • Pressure points: Victoria Bosio converted 5 of 7 break points; Nuria Brancaccio converted 7 of 13 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Bosio V.20%
Brancaccio N.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brancaccio N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bosio V.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Brancaccio N.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1285
Surface ELO
7.8+226 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1305
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1510
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.13 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.0Home country · 1/6 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bosio V.
450
Brancaccio N.
672

Conditions

Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 36%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Bosio V.Brancaccio N.
69%1st serve in+5%74%
59%1st serve points won59%
50%2nd serve points won+7%43%
56%Service points won+1%55%
48%Return points won+3%45%
57%Break points saved+3%54%
0.8Aces / match+0.61.4
2Double faults / match+1.13.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw