Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa — Modena Round of 16

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
GER
Noma Noha Akugue
#154WTA
1633ELO
1539Clay ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#143WTA
1619ELO
1627Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWWWWL

Noma Noha Akugue faces Katarzyna Kawa in the Modena round of 16 on clay. Katarzyna Kawa holds the paper edge — ranked #143, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Noha Akugue N.47%
Kawa K.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noha Akugue N.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Kawa K.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1539
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1633
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

1st on CENTER COURT · not before Starting at 12:00 PM · up next on court

  1. 1Noha Akugue N. v Kawa K.This match
  2. 2Quevedo K. v Vandromme J.
  3. 3Salkova D. v Trevisan M.

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Noha Akugue N.Kawa K.
66%1st serve in+3%63%
66%1st serve points won+5%61%
52%2nd serve points won+5%47%
61%Service points won+5%56%
45%Return points won+5%50%
59%Break points saved+4%55%
2.2Aces / match+1.30.9
2.2Double faults / match+0.42.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw