Dominika Salkova vs Martina TrevisanModena Round of 16

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#114WTA
1617ELO
1536Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#422WTA
1462ELO
1455Clay ELO
32 yrs · 160 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWWL

Dominika Salkova faces Martina Trevisan in the Modena round of 16 on clay. Dominika Salkova holds the paper edge — ranked #114, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Martina Trevisan handed Jennifer Ruggeri a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
  • Fatigue load: Dominika Salkova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Salkova D.74%
Trevisan M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Salkova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+81 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1455
6.8Overall Elo 1617
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1462
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
4.8Home country · 1/8 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

3rd on CENTER COURT · not before Not before 4:30 PM · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Noha Akugue N. v Kawa K.
  2. 2Quevedo K. v Vandromme J.
  3. 3Salkova D. v Trevisan M.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 33%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
70%1st serve in+1%69%
58%1st serve points won+3%55%
43%2nd serve points won+9%34%
53%Service points won+4%49%
47%Return points won47%
54%Break points saved+7%47%
0.9Aces / match+0.30.6
3Double faults / match+3.46.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.