Martina Trevisan vs Jennifer Ruggeri — Modena Round of 32

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITAWC
Martina Trevisan
#422WTA
1462ELO
1455Clay ELO
32 yrs · 160 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
ITAWC
Jennifer Ruggeri
#213WTA
1398ELO
1371Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL

Martina Trevisan reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-0 6-3 win over Jennifer Ruggeri in the Modena round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Martina Trevisan broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Martina Trevisan converted 2 of 2 break points; Jennifer Ruggeri converted 1 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Trevisan M.78%
Ruggeri J.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Trevisan M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Trevisan M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Ruggeri J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+84 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1371
3.9Overall Elo 1462
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1398
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0Home country · 0/7 here
Country comfort
7.0Home country
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Trevisan M.
662
Ruggeri J.
030

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Trevisan M.Ruggeri J.
69%1st serve in+3%66%
55%1st serve points won+3%58%
34%2nd serve points won+13%47%
49%Service points won+5%54%
47%Return points won+3%50%
47%Break points saved+8%55%
0.6Aces / match+0.30.9
6.4Double faults / match+2.44

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw