Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

SLO

Tamara Zidansek

#134WTA

1684ELO

1675Clay ELO

28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLLWWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 11:00

clay

ITA

Nuria Brancaccio

#177WTA

1510ELO

1511Clay ELO

25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLLLLWL

Tamara Zidansek faces Nuria Brancaccio in the Modena round of 16 on clay. Tamara Zidansek holds the paper edge — ranked #134, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Tamara Zidansek handed Federica Urgesi a second-set bagel in a 7–5 6–0 win.
Last match: Nuria Brancaccio edged Victoria Bosio in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Surface form: Tamara Zidansek 5 of 9, Nuria Brancaccio 2 of 9 on clay recently — Tamara Zidansek the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Tamara Zidansek carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Zidansek T.87%

Brancaccio N.13%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zidansek T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Zidansek T.

7.2

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Brancaccio N.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.0+164 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.0Clay Elo 1511

6.1Overall Elo 1684

ELO gap

3.9Overall Elo 1510

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

6.57 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.64 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Country comfort

5.7Home country · 2/7 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CPartly cloudy

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Zidansek T.Brancaccio N.

65%1st serve in+9%74%

60%1st serve points won+1%59%

47%2nd serve points won+4%43%

55%Service points won55%

47%Return points won+2%45%

52%Break points saved+2%54%

1.2Aces / match+0.21.4

2.9Double faults / match+0.23.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio — Modena Round of 16