Noma Noha Akugue vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah — Modena Round of 32

Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GER
Noma Noha Akugue
#154WTA
1633ELO
1539Clay ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
clay
FRAQ
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
#162WTA
1494ELO
1459Clay ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLLLL

A decisive break in the second set settled it as Noma Noha Akugue got past Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah 6-4 6-4 in the Modena round of 32.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Noma Noha Akugue converted 3 of 5 break points; Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah converted 1 of 3 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Noha Akugue N.85%
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noha Akugue N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noha Akugue N.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1459
6.3Overall Elo 1633
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1494
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Noha Akugue N.
662
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
440

Conditions

Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Noha Akugue N.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
66%1st serve in+3%63%
66%1st serve points won+8%58%
52%2nd serve points won+8%44%
61%Service points won+8%53%
45%Return points won+6%39%
59%Break points saved+6%53%
2.2Aces / match+0.71.5
2.2Double faults / match+2.34.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw