Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson — Modena Round of 32
Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Laura Samson reeled off five straight games on the way to a 7-6 7-5 win over Xiyu Wang in the Modena round of 32.
Key context
- Set 1, game 2: Xiyu Wang broke serve.
- Pressure points: Laura Samson converted 6 of 13 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTCWang X.83%
Samson L.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Wang X. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.6+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Clay Elo 1634
6.1Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap3.9Overall Elo 1631
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Wang X.
6350
Samson L.
7772
Conditions
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 49%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form76%1st serve in+21%55%
61%1st serve points won+7%68%
53%2nd serve points won+7%46%
59%Service points won+1%58%
54%Return points won+10%44%
61%Break points saved+6%55%
0.5Aces / match+2.73.2
1.3Double faults / match+3.85.1
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Wang X.
Samson L.
6-735-7
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