Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Elena Rybakina
KAZ3
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
Marta Kostyuk
UKR27
Marta Kostyuk
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Rybakina E.
6-3 6-4
Kostyuk M.
Rybakina E.
662
Kostyuk M.
340

Elena Rybakina defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-4 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 64. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27MontrealQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 2-1 RET
2024-04-15StuttgartFclayElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardElena Rybakina6-2 6-1
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardMarta Kostyuk6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Kostyuk M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Kostyuk M.
100
Serve
53
34
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Kostyuk M.
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
51%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Kostyuk M.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Kostyuk M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+143 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1968
6.9Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2057
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.3
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
8.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Kostyuk M.
Freshness·Clear edge
93
77

Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-24-66-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.[13]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Muchova K.[13]
Mboko V.[10]
7-57-65
Sabalenka A.[1]
Baptiste H.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
2-66-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.[12]
6-31-66-3
R16
Muchova K.[13]
Eala A.[31]
6-06-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Cristian J.[34]
6-46-1
Mboko V.[10]
Andreeva M.[8]
7-644-66-0
Baptiste H.
Ostapenko J.[25]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Cirstea S.
6-43-66-2
Bencic B.[12]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[3]
Gibson T.
6-26-2
R32
Ostapenko J.[25]
Paolini J.[7]
5-76-27-5
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
3-66-06-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mcnally C.
6-46-2
Eala A.[31]
Linette M.
6-37-62
Cirstea S.
Mertens E.[21]
6-36-2
Cristian J.[34]
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-34-67-65
Andreeva M.[8]
Bouzkova M.[32]
7-646-2
Anisimova A.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[23]
Keys M.[15]
4-66-26-4
Mboko V.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-17-5
Gibson T.
Jovic I.[18]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[13]
Boulter K.
6-37-5
Bencic B.[12]
Shnaider D.[20]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[27]
6-36-4
Baptiste H.
Svitolina E.[9]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[26]
6-26-2
R64
Shnaider D.[20]
Valentova T.
7-677-63
Pegula J.[5]
Jones F.
6-13-0
Boulter K.
Tauson C.[17]
6-746-41-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Bucsa C.[30]
6-23-2
Bouzkova M.[32]
Jacquemot E.
6-26-2
Linette M.
Swiatek I.[2]
1-67-56-3
Zheng Q.[23]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[13]
Osorio C.
4-66-27-5
Kostyuk M.[27]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[7]
Townsend T.
6-31-66-2
Cirstea S.
Noskova L.[14]
6-23-66-4
Parks A.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-36-3
Mcnally C.
Wang X.[29]
6-41-66-0
Anisimova A.[6]
Tomljanovic A.
6-15-76-4
Ostapenko J.[25]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[11]
Tagger L.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Li A.
7-656-4
Eala A.[31]
Siegemund L.
6-766-36-3
Cristian J.[34]
Stearns P.
6-47-5
Svitolina E.[9]
Jones E.
6-26-4
Fernandez L.[26]
Selekhmeteva O.
7-613-66-1
Mertens E.[21]
Kalieva E.
6-26-0
Keys M.[15]
Ruse E.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Zakharova A.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
3-66-17-5
Mboko V.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-26-0
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-37-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Kessler M.
6-16-736-1
Bencic B.[12]
Sonmez Z.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
3-66-46-3
Jovic I.[18]
Badosa P.
6-26-1
R128
Tomljanovic A.
Waltert S.
6-36-4
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
6-46-4
Putintseva Y.
Tjen J.
3-66-36-4
Gibson T.
Bejlek S.
6-16-0
Mcnally C.
Masarova R.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Semenistaja D.
6-46-1
Tagger L.
Seidel E.
6-786-47-5
Jones E.
Fruhvirtova L.
3-67-637-64
Cirstea S.
Zhang S.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Williams V.
7-57-5
Sonmez Z.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Golubic V.
7-666-4
Li A.
Birrell K.
6-22-66-3
Townsend T.
Sun L.
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Lys E.
6-16-4
Jacquemot E.
Vidmanova D.
6-757-57-5
Linette M.
Gracheva V.
2-66-26-0
Badosa P.
Sasnovich A.
7-56-3
Kalieva E.
Galfi D.
6-36-757-65
Boulter K.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-696-4
Baptiste H.
Maria T.
7-56-2
Kessler M.
Frech M.
2-66-46-2
Yastremska D.
Krueger A.
2-66-47-5
Blinkova A.
Kenin S.
3-66-16-3
Selekhmeteva O.
Arango E.
6-34-66-3
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
7-57-63
Rakhimova K.
Sierra S.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Kraus S.
7-57-64
Valentova T.
Volynets K.
6-26-4
Zakharova A.
Bondar A.
5-76-36-1
Osorio C.
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Brady J.
6-46-2