Elena Rybakina vs Marta KostyukStuttgart Final

Stuttgart · WTA · Final
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Rybakina E.
6-2 6-2
Kostyuk M.
Rybakina E.
662
Kostyuk M.
220

Elena Rybakina defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-2 in the Stuttgart final on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-4
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardElena Rybakina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27MontrealQFhardElena Rybakina6-1 2-1 RET
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardElena Rybakina6-2 6-1
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardMarta Kostyuk6-7(5) 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Kostyuk M.
100
Serve
61
9
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 40 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
6.0+10 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1992
6.9Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
3.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
69

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 87%