Jasmine Paolini vs Taylor TownsendMiami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#79WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLWW
Paolini J.
6-3 1-6 6-2
Townsend T.
Paolini J.
6162
Townsend T.
3621

Jasmine Paolini defeated Taylor Townsend 6-3 1-6 6-2 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Townsend T.

Townsend T.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Townsend T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Townsend T.
31
Serve
70
55
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
58%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Dominant
99
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
79
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1796
6.4Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
7.4
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
8.5
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.8
Country comfort
6.9
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
96

Paolini J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Townsend T.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw