Dayana Yastremska vs Ashlyn KruegerMiami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
#74WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#66WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Yastremska D.
2-6 6-4 7-5
Krueger A.
Yastremska D.
2672
Krueger A.
6451

Dayana Yastremska defeated Ashlyn Krueger 2-6 6-4 7-5 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #66, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Krueger A.
11
Serve
37
25
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
79
Break points saved·Even
89
87
Break points won·Slight edge
92
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1723
5.7Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.3
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Yastremska D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw