Lorenzo Musetti defeated Andrey Rublev 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Hong Kong semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in two meetings, levelling the head-to-head at 1–1.
Musetti L. came through in three sets.
Musetti L. and Rublev A. faced 14 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Musetti L. went 7–11 (39%) against them, Rublev A. 6–10 (38%). Results against comparable opponents are close (4 : 2 better-results split).
Lorenzo Musetti beat Andrey Rublev 6-7 7-5 6-4. Umpiry, "Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev — Hong Kong Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-01-05/musetti-vs-rublev-hong-kong-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 5 January 2026).