Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo MusettiDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2020
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Rublev A.
6-4 6-4
Musetti L.
Rublev A.
662
Musetti L.
440

Andrey Rublev defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05Hong KongSFhardLorenzo Musetti6-7(3) 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Musetti L.
55
Serve
54
52
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Slight edge
72
82
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 35%