Lorenzo Musetti vs Adrian MannarinoBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 September 2025
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Musetti L.
6-3 6-3
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.
662
Mannarino A.
330

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-3 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 16. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18ChengduQFhardLorenzo Musetti6-2 5-7 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Mannarino A.
54
Serve
37
62
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
65
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Clear edge
82
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1647
8.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1673
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.4
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
69

Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 44%