Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Musetti — Indian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA19
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Mannarino A.
6-4 6-4
Musetti L.
Mannarino A.
662
Musetti L.
440

Adrian Mannarino defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Adrian Mannarino edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingR16hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-3
2024-09-18ChengduQFhardLorenzo Musetti6-2 5-7 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Musetti L.
37
Serve
54
32
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mannarino A.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mannarino A.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
89
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Clear edge
66
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mannarino A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
8.2+156 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.0
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mannarino A.Musetti L.
Freshness·
69
—

Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[11]
Fritz T.[4]
6-44-66-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-37-5
Tiafoe F.[14]
Norrie C.[10]
6-46-4
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Draper J.
6-22-0
Medvedev D.[5]
Zverev A.[12]
6-757-657-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Garin C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[11]
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Paul T.[17]
3-66-37-66
Fritz T.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[14]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
R32
Draper J.
Murray A.
7-666-2
Fritz T.[4]
Baez S.[30]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[11]
Mannarino A.
7-676-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Ivashka I.
6-23-66-1
Zverev A.[12]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-51-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-31-66-4
Garin C.
Ruud C.[3]
6-47-62
Rublev A.[6]
Humbert U.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[10]
Daniel T.
6-757-56-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Griekspoor T.[31]
7-646-3
Paul T.[17]
Hurkacz H.[9]
4-66-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Molcan A.
6-46-2
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kubler J.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Thompson J.
6-37-66
Wawrinka S.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-757-5
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-56-4
R64
Hurkacz H.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-3
Molcan A.
Coric B.[18]
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Gasquet R.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.[19]
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Wu Y.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Nishioka Y.[29]
6-46-0
Rublev A.[6]
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Daniel T.
Berrettini M.[20]
7-650-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Wu T.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[14]
Giron M.
6-26-2
Tabilo A.
Cressy M.[32]
7-637-613
Thompson J.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-604-67-65
Ivashka I.
Van De Zandschulp B.[28]
7-53-2
Kubler J.
Dimitrov G.[21]
2-67-653-0
Draper J.
Evans D.[24]
6-46-2
Murray A.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.[31]
Pella G.
7-637-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Shelton B.
4-66-46-3
Baez S.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-36-1
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
7-686-4
Rune H.[7]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[12]
Cachin P.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Otte O.
6-36-3
Ruud C.[3]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Shapovalov D.[25]
7-56-4
Paul T.[17]
Struff J.
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[27]
Sock J.
4-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Martinez P.
7-656-4
R128
Kokkinakis T.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Draper J.
Riedi L.
6-16-1
Popyrin A.
Zhang Z.
6-45-76-1
Struff J.
Halys Q.
1-66-36-3
Molcan A.
Ramos A.
6-36-2
Fucsovics M.
Wolf J.
1-66-06-3
Mcdonald M.
Krajinovic F.
6-36-0
Nakashima B.
Isner J.
7-676-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lestienne C.
6-44-1
Cachin P.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-3
Otte O.
Djere L.
6-37-5
Thompson J.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.
Gojo B.
6-46-756-2
Kubler J.
Sonego L.
6-47-64
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.
6-756-16-4
Hijikata R.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Lehecka J.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-5
Martinez P.
Huesler M.
7-643-66-4
Wu T.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Pella G.
Monteiro T.
3-67-56-2
Shelton B.
Fognini F.
6-46-1
Mannarino A.
Thiem D.
4-66-47-65
Wawrinka S.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Ivashka I.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Wu Y.
Munar J.
6-766-07-63
Garin C.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Schwartzman D.
Coria F.
6-16-2
Humbert U.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-27-66
Daniel T.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Kovacevic A.
6-37-5
Tabilo A.
Marterer M.
6-46-3
Sock J.
Barrere G.
6-46-2