Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo Musetti — Hong Kong Final

Hong Kong · ATP · Final
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
[2]
#10ATP
1920ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
ITA
Lorenzo Musetti
[1]
#11ATP
1969ELO
1904Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL

Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6 6-3 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Musetti L.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1852
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1920
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1969
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bublik A.
7762
Musetti L.
6230

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10StuttgartQFgrassLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-1 1-0 RET
2024-01-08AdelaideQFhardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-7(4) 7-5
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR32grassAlexander Bublik6-3 0-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Bublik A.Musetti L.
64%1st serve in+1%65%
75%1st serve points won+6%69%
52%2nd serve points won+3%55%
67%Service points won+3%64%
33%Return points won+5%38%
65%Break points saved+2%67%
9.7Aces / match+4.94.8
3.2Double faults / match+12.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Bublik A.[2]
Musetti L.[1]
7-626-3
Semi-finals
Bublik A.[2]
Giron M.
3-66-46-2
Musetti L.[1]
Rublev A.[3]
6-737-56-4
Quarter-finals
Giron M.
Mmoh M.
6-31-0
Musetti L.[1]
Wong C.
6-46-4
Bublik A.[2]
Shang J.
6-17-62
Rublev A.[3]
Borges N.[8]
6-36-4
R16
Bublik A.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Wong C.
Diallo G.[6]
1-67-57-5
Shang J.
Sonego L.[5]
6-36-4
Rublev A.[3]
Wu Y.
3-66-26-1
Mmoh M.
Khachanov K.[4]
7-627-64
Giron M.
Muller A.[7]
6-47-64
Borges N.[8]
Cilic M.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-736-26-4
R32
Giron M.
Djere L.
6-26-0
Diallo G.[6]
De Jong J.
6-47-67
Borges N.[8]
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Muller A.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
7-56-4
Mmoh M.
Tabilo A.
7-56-4
Wu Y.
Marozsan F.
6-46-2
Wong C.
Navone M.
6-37-5
Etcheverry T.
Royer V.
6-47-5
Shang J.
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-31-66-1
Cilic M.
Mannarino A.
6-36-2
Sonego L.[5]
Sakamoto R.
6-27-64