Alexander Bublik vs Lorenzo Musetti — Hong Kong Final
Hong Kong · ATP · Final
KAZ2#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026 ·
hard
ITA1#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Bublik A.7-6 6-3
Musetti L.
Bublik A.
762
Musetti L.
630
Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6 6-3 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Bublik closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | QF | grass | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 6-1 1-0 |
| 2024-01-08 | Adelaide | QF | hard | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-7 7-5 |
| 2022-06-13 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 0-0 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Clear edge
49
73
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
89
90
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
85
—
Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast