Lorenzo Sonego vs Lorenzo MusettiParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Sonego L.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Musetti L.
Sonego L.
3662
Musetti L.
6311

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Sonego claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-3 6-4
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Musetti L.
41
Serve
54
38
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
45
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
7.3+102 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.8
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
4.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.3
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%