Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo MusettiIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Fils A.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Musetti L.
Fils A.
37762
Musetti L.
66431

Arthur Fils defeated Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, defending last year's round of 32. Arthur Fils extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaQFclayArthur Fils6-3 6-4
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Fils A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fils A.Musetti L.
56
Serve
54
30
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Clear edge
70
82
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.8+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1804
6.0Overall Elo 2001
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
4.7
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Fils A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%