Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Ben Shelton
USA5
Ben Shelton
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS12
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Shelton B.
7-6 6-3
Rublev A.
Shelton B.
7862
Rublev A.
6630

Ben Shelton defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Ben Shelton closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21BaselQFhardBen Shelton7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Rublev A.
75
Serve
55
18
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Shelton B.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.0
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shelton B.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Even
86
89
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
58
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shelton B.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1849
6.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shelton B.Rublev A.
Freshness·Even
92
93

Shelton B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1