Ben Shelton vs Andrey RublevBasel Quarter-final

Basel · ATP · Quarter-final
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Shelton B.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Rublev A.
Shelton B.
76362
Rublev A.
57741

Ben Shelton defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Basel quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardBen Shelton7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Rublev A.
75
Serve
55
18
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
86
89
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
58
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1849
6.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
93

Shelton B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast