Andrey Rublev vs Learner TienParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-4
Tien L.
Rublev A.
662
Tien L.
440

Andrey Rublev defeated Learner Tien 6-4 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR64hardAndrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-3
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardLearner Tien7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Tien L.
55
Serve
32
52
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
72
83
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
5.5+56 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1941
5.4
H2H
4.6
3.3
Surface form
7.8
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
87

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%