Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev — Washington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
Learner Tien
USA
Learner Tien
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Tien L.
7-5 6-2
Rublev A.
Tien L.
762
Rublev A.
520

Learner Tien defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-2 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Learner Tien claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR64hardAndrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Tien L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tien L.Rublev A.
32
Serve
55
67
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tien L.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tien L.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Even
90
88
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Slight edge
83
72
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tien L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1849
5.2Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.0
Country comfort
5.5
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tien L.Rublev A.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
94

Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%
Final
De Minaur A.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[12]
5-76-17-63
Semi-finals
De Minaur A.[7]
Moutet C.
6-46-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[12]
Shelton B.[4]
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Shelton B.[4]
Tiafoe F.[6]
7-626-4
Moutet C.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-66-46-4
De Minaur A.[7]
Nakashima B.[14]
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
7-633-67-5
R16
Shelton B.[4]
Diallo G.[15]
6-36-2
Tiafoe F.[6]
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-4
Moutet C.
Evans D.
6-27-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[12]
Tien L.
6-26-2
Fritz T.[1]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Wu Y.
6-36-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Lehecka J.[11]
7-646-766-4
Nakashima B.[14]
Norrie C.
7-636-3
R32
Shelton B.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Sonego L.[16]
7-57-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[12]
Munar J.
6-46-2
Cobolli F.[9]
Nishioka Y.
6-27-63
Diallo G.[15]
Marozsan F.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[6]
Kovacevic A.
7-53-66-3
Fritz T.[1]
Vukic A.
6-36-2
Evans D.
Michelsen A.[13]
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[11]
Svajda Z.
6-46-756-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Norrie C.
Musetti L.[2]
3-66-26-3
Tien L.
Rublev A.[5]
7-56-2
Wu Y.
Popyrin A.[10]
7-55-76-3
Moutet C.
Muller A.
6-06-1
De Minaur A.[7]
Yunchaokete B.
7-656-2
Nakashima B.[14]
Quinn E.
6-36-4
R64
Quinn E.
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Muller A.
Zhukayev B.
6-46-4
Tien L.
Nava E.
6-16-4
Marozsan F.
Bonzi B.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Giron M.
7-56-3
Opelka R.
Cassone M.
7-646-756-3
Nishioka Y.
Brooksby J.
6-45-76-1
Norrie C.
Harris B.
6-37-64
Vukic A.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-43-66-3
Svajda Z.
Kecmanovic M.
1-66-26-2
Mcdonald M.
Smith C.
6-46-1
Evans D.
Bergs Z.
3-66-46-3
Kovacevic A.
Halys Q.
6-23-66-3
Wu Y.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Yunchaokete B.
Goffin D.
6-47-5
Arnaldi M.
Altmaier D.
4-66-27-62