Valentin Vacherot vs Taylor Fritz | Basel Semi-final

UMPIRY

BaselSemi-finalHardSat 31 Oct · 15:00CENTER COURT · Next on

Valentin VacherotATP #31 · MON31%

VSClear favourite · Fritz T.

Taylor Fritz(6)ATP #13 · USA69%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Fritz T.

31%69%

Clear edge for Fritz T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Vacherot V.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Fritz T.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+14 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Vacherot V.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1909Supports Fritz T.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Fritz T.

This eventReached the R32 here last yearInformative

Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Fritz T.

ELO2 030

Hard ELO1 865

Last 107–3

Age27

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M

ELO2 138

Hard ELO1 973

Last 107–3

Age29

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $32.6M2026 $3.3M

Valentin Vacherot faces Taylor Fritz in the Basel semi-final on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Valentin Vacherot 111 games in 14 days, Taylor Fritz 133.
Last match: Taylor Fritz advanced when Arthur Fils retired.
Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Basel 2025.

Common opponents

14 shared · last 12 months

Vacherot V. and Fritz T. faced 14 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Vacherot V. went 10–5 (67%) against them, Fritz T. 8–11 (42%). Vacherot V. came out better against 5 of 14 comparable opponents, Fritz T. against 2.

10–567%Vacherot V. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents8–1142%Fritz T. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

23–19Sets21–23

222–218Games229–236

9–2Tiebreaks5–3

5–1Deciding sets0–6

vs Alcaraz C.#3L4-6 4-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayL7-6 5-7 3-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Shelton B.#4L4-6 4-6 6-7Australian Open · hardL4-6 6-2 4-6Stuttgart · grass
vs Fils A.#8W7-5 4-6 6-4Tokyo · hardW6-2 2-0Basel · hard

Show 11 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Tiafoe F.#9L4-6 2-6 4-6US Open · hardL4-6 4-6Halle · grass
vs De Minaur A.#10W6-4 3-6 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · clayL6-7 3-6Tour Finals · hard
vs Jodar R.#11W7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(5)Basel · hardW7-6(2) 6-4Washington · hard
vs Bublik A.#20W7-6 7-6KAZ vs MON · hardW6-4 6-4Stuttgart · grass
vs Lehecka J.#21L4-6 2-6Tokyo · hardL4-6 7-6 2-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Musetti L.#26W7-6 7-5Monte Carlo Masters · clayL2-6 5-7 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#28W6-7 6-3 6-4Monte Carlo Masters · clayL6-7 6-7United Cup · hard
vs Tsitsipas S.#33W4-6 7-6(5) 6-4Tokyo · hardL6-3 5-7 3-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Baez S.#49W6-4 7-6(5)Shanghai Masters · hardL6-4 5-7 4-6United Cup · hard
vs Majchrzak K.#82W6-4 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2US Open · hardW6-3 6-4Washington · hard
vs Hijikata R.#85W6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2Australian Open · hardW6-4 7-6(3)Basel · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Fritz T. leads 1–0

Fritz T.October 2025BaselHard4-6 7-6 7-5

Evidence

Vacherot V.Fritz T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate59% (26–18)67% (40–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20302138

Hard-court ELO18651973

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 60 matches

1st-serve points won77%80%

Return points won34%35%

Aces / match10.613.8

ClutchLast 41 vs 60 matches

Break points saved66%70%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · Next on · Not before 15:00

1This match: Vacherot V. v Fritz T.This match
2Lehecka J. v Struff J.Not before 17:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 15:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast10°C · Clear

Wind6 km/h

Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Vacherot V.Fritz T.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days5

83Games · 7 days92

4Matches · 14 days7

111Games · 14 days133

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Valentin Vacherot vs Taylor Fritz — Basel Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/fritz-vs-vacherot-basel-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).