Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak — US Open Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Round of 64
Valentin Vacherot
MON22
Valentin Vacherot
#23ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWLLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 3rd on
Kamil Majchrzak
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#72ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLWLW
Vacherot V.
vs
Majchrzak K.

Valentin Vacherot faces Kamil Majchrzak in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Valentin Vacherot holds the paper edge — ranked #23, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Vacherot V.63%
Majchrzak K.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vacherot V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Vacherot V. 3–2 · Majchrzak K. 2–4
Vacherot V. better · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vacherot V.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Majchrzak K.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+113 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1739
6.3Overall Elo 1903
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
Vacherot V.Majchrzak K.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vacherot V.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Majchrzak K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Vacherot V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Vacherot V.Majchrzak K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
17
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Slight edge
33
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Vacherot V.Majchrzak K.
Freshness·Even
84
84

Vacherot V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Majchrzak K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 13 · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1MShapovalov D. v Van Assche L.
  2. 2WLi A. v Vekic D.
  3. 3MVacherot V. v Majchrzak K.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw