Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex De Minaur — s Hertogenbosch Final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Final
Kamil Majchrzak
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#76ATP
1751ELO
1661Grass ELO
$354kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWLL
—
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
Alex De Minaur
AUS
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1979ELO
1825Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWWWL

Kamil Majchrzak faces Alex De Minaur in the s Hertogenbosch final on grass. Alex De Minaur holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC
Majchrzak K.20%
De Minaur A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · De Minaur A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Majchrzak K.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
De Minaur A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.9Grass Elo 1661
Surface ELO
7.1+164 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1751
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1978
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.09 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur6-1 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Majchrzak K.De Minaur A.
64%1st serve in+6%58%
73%1st serve points won+2%71%
48%2nd serve points won+8%56%
64%Service points won+1%65%
35%Return points won+4%39%
64%Break points saved+1%63%
7.6Aces / match+3.34.3
2Double faults / match+0.72.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
—
Hurkacz H.
Fucsovics M.
6-36-756-74
Virtanen O.
Majchrzak K.
7-674-66-74
Mccabe J.
Bergs Z.[8]
6-726-27-64
—
Boogaard T.
Wu Y.
6-32-66-4
Borges N.
Atmane T.
6-46-4
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[7]
6-756-47-5
Griekspoor T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-26-726-4
Zhang Z.
Brooksby J.
7-645-76-1
Diallo G.
Mannarino A.
4-66-35-7
—
Humbert U.[5]
Ymer E.[6]
6-46-3
Bonzi B.[1]
Rottgering M.
6-46-4
Munar J.
Damm M.[3]
4-64-6
—
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Fucsovics M.
6-36-4
Majchrzak K.
Mccabe J.
6-06-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Boogaard T.
6-34-67-66
Borges N.
Cilic M.
6-36-753-6
Griekspoor T.[6]
Zhang Z.
6-754-6
Mannarino A.
Rinderknech A.[4]
7-653-66-3
Humbert U.[5]
Bonzi B.[1]
4-66-33-6
Damm M.[3]
De Minaur A.[2]
6-785-7
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Majchrzak K.
4-63-6
Medvedev D.[3]
Cilic M.
6-23-66-1
Zhang Z.
Mannarino A.
6-743-6
Bonzi B.[1]
De Minaur A.[2]
2-64-6
Majchrzak K.
Medvedev D.
7-646-1
Mannarino A.
De Minaur A.
4-60-6
Majchrzak K.
De Minaur A.