Aliassime vs Majchrzak — s Hertogenbosch Quarter-final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Quarter-final

CAN

Felix Auger Aliassime

#4ATP

1957ELO

1780Grass ELO

$1.5MYTD

$22MCAREER

25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Friday, 12 June 2026 · 15:00

grass

POL

Kamil Majchrzak

#76ATP

1751ELO

1661Grass ELO

$354kYTD

$3.5MCAREER

30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Felix Auger Aliassime faces Kamil Majchrzak in the s Hertogenbosch quarter-final on grass. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Kamil Majchrzak handed James Mccabe a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Fatigue load: Felix Auger Aliassime carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC

Auger Aliassime F.83%

Majchrzak K.17%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Auger Aliassime F.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Majchrzak K.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.5+119 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.5Grass Elo 1661

7.6Overall Elo 1957

ELO gap

2.4Overall Elo 1751

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.46 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.08 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°CDrizzle

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 98%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Auger Aliassime F.Majchrzak K.

67%1st serve in+3%64%

77%1st serve points won+4%73%

55%2nd serve points won+7%48%

70%Service points won+6%64%

36%Return points won+1%35%

63%Break points saved+1%64%

7.8Aces / match+0.27.6

2.3Double faults / match+0.32

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak — s Hertogenbosch Quarter-final