Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherot — Kitzbuhel Round of 16
Halys Q.
Quentin Halys faces Valentin Vacherot in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. Valentin Vacherot is the paper favourite — ranked #19, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage — but Quentin Halys arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Valentin Vacherot's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vacherot V. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Valentin Vacherot has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 69 vs 11).
- Freshness: Quentin Halys comes in with 4 days of rest and 89 games in 14d, vs Valentin Vacherot's 4 and 64.
- Last match: Quentin Halys edged Laslo Djere in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHalys Q.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 89 games (7d) · Vacherot V.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.