Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata | Basel Round of 64

UMPIRY

BaselR64HardWed 28 Oct · 10:00

Taylor Fritz(6)ATP #13 · USA81%

VSStrong favourite · Fritz T.

Rinky HijikataATP #85 · AUS19%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Fritz T.

81%19%

Clear edge for Fritz T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Fritz T.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Hijikata R.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+145 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fritz T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1909Supports Fritz T.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Fritz T.

This eventReached the last 16 here last yearSupports Fritz T.

Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Hijikata R.

ELO2 122

Hard ELO1 954

Last 105–5

Age29

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $32.6M2026 $3.3M

ELO1 882

Hard ELO1 759

Last 103–7

Age25

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.4M2026 $815K

Taylor Fritz faces Rinky Hijikata in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Taylor Fritz grades 79 on serve, Rinky Hijikata 36 on return.
Freshness: Workload contrast: Taylor Fritz 111 games in 14 days, Rinky Hijikata 69.
Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Delray Beach 2024.

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Fritz T. and Hijikata R. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fritz T. went 4–5 (44%) against them, Hijikata R. 3–3 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

4–544%Fritz T. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–350%Hijikata R. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

13–11Sets5–8

124–126Games67–74

5–0Tiebreaks2–2

1–3Deciding sets1–0

vs Tiafoe F.#9L4-6 4-6Halle · grassL4-6 4-6Stuttgart · grass
vs Bublik A.#20W6-4 6-4Stuttgart · grassW6-7 7-6 6-3Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Lehecka J.#21L4-6 7-6 2-6Miami Masters · hardW4-6 7-5London · grass

Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Tsitsipas S.#33L6-3 5-7 3-6Shanghai Masters · hardL4-6 3-6Tokyo · hard
vs Munar J.#65L7-6(7) 4-6 3-6Tokyo · hardL6-7(3) 3-6Montreal · hard
vs Blanch D.#144W6-3 6-2 6-4US Open · hardW6-4 7-6(2)Winston-Salem · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Fritz T. leads 1–0

Fritz T.February 2024Delray BeachHard6-3 6-3

Evidence

Fritz T.Hijikata R.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–53–7

Season win rate65% (37–20)54% (36–31)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO21221882

Hard-court ELO19541759

Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 58 matches

1st-serve points won79%69%

Return points won35%37%

Aces / match14.04.6

ClutchLast 57 vs 58 matches

Break points saved69%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast12°C · Overcast

Wind11 km/h

Humidity85%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Fritz T.Hijikata R.

1Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days3

81Games · 7 days69

5Matches · 14 days3

111Games · 14 days69

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/fritz-vs-hijikata-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).